College football Week 10 upset picks: Can Duke defense contain Miami?
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Last Saturday, Duke forced six SMU turnovers and nearly upset the No. 20 Mustangs in Durham, but Duke kicker Todd Pelino’s would-be game-winning field goal from 30 yards was blocked, and the Blue Devils lost in OT.
Against Miami, Duke will face the best offense its seen all year, as Cam Ward is a legit Heisman candidate for good reason. The Canes have found themselves in a number of close games, though, including one-score contests in back-to-back-to-back contests against Virginia Tech, Cal and Louisville in Weeks 5, 6 and 8.
Those teams are all solid, but they’ve also lost at least three games this year.
Should the U really be favored by 21 over a solid, albeit offensively challenged, Duke team that is 6-2 (2-2 ACC)?
We don’t think so.
Duke +21 (-110): 1 unit
Illinois Moneyline (+130) DraftKings
Minnesota vs. Illinois, 12 p.m. ET (FS1)
A week ago, we couldn’t understand why BYU was getting points vs. UCF, and sure enough, the Cougars won that game going away, 37-24.
This week’s “wait, did I read those odds correctly?” award goes to Minnesota vs. Illinois.
No, Illinois did not fare well in Eugene last Saturday, losing 38-9 to the Ducks in a game that was never close. Still, against non-elite competition this year, Illinois — whose only losses this year came against No. 1 Oregon and No. 3 Penn State — has been excellent. The Illini have wins over Kansas, Nebraska, Purdue and Michigan.
Minnesota opened the season with a bad loss to North Carolina at home, and the Gophers have also lost to Iowa and Michigan this year. This team has won three in a row, though, including a massive upset of USC.
Still, Illinois is the better team, and we like Bret Bielema’s squad to get another solid W today.
Illinois moneyline (+130): 1 unit
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